The Bitcoin Price Prediction by Vector Auto-Regression (VAR) Model

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Abderraouf MTIRAOUI
Nadia SLIMENE
Leila CHEMLI

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to assess the ability of a VAR model, used to predict. The results of the estimates lead to adopting a VAR model. However, the performances of this model are quite close, for certain horizons, to those performed by the forecasting organizations for the time series. We will first do a detailed analysis of Bitcoin prices, including the closing price. Next, we will move on to modeling the Bitcoin series using the VAR model, which will then be used for forecasting. We will move on to modeling the Bitcoin series using the VAR model, which consumers will then use.

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